Is that big? 2. To be clear, these are all possibilities — pollsters will have plenty of work to do to figure out what they didn't capture this year. Ben Carson dropped out of the race-ish, kind of, maybe not entirely? We’re forecasting the election with three models. But then, in 2008, the results were remarkably close, only a few tenths of a point away from the final poling average. "https:" : "http:"; opst.type = 'text/javascript'; opst.async = true; opst.src = os_host + '//' + 'www.opinionstage.com/polls/2270761/embed.js'; (document.getElementsByTagName('head')[0] || document.getElementsByTagName('body')[0]).appendChild(opst); }()); Do you think anything Oliver said will impact Trump supporters once they are in the booth? Polls-plus forecast. Share. This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election.The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.. Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016, despite losing the popular vote while winning the electoral … RCP's final estimate was 3.2 points below that (this was in two-way polling; polls including third-party candidates were rare that year). // ]]> //